The increasingly "Dark" German economy
The increasingly "Dark" German economy
Compared to expectations, German industrial production decreased in July Economic indicators for
Europe's largest economy continue to show poor performance. According to
analysts, expectations related to the key manufacturing sector remained
"severely disappointing". German business data fell for the fourth
month in a row in August. The results of a key survey released on Friday
deepened the sense of gloom in Europe's largest economy. IFO Institute's Business Climate IndexGermany's business data
fell from 87.4 to 85.7 points last month on the IFO Institute's Business Climate
Index, which measures the German economy's business
environment based on a monthly survey. This survey consisted of the opinions of
nine thousand companies. FactSet had Expected an improved rating of 86.8 pointsAnalysts polled by
financial data company FactSet had expected an improved rating of 86.8 points.
The poor results of the study came as final official data
confirmed that the economy stagnated in the second quarter as the country
still grapples with various economic challenges, including high inflation. IFO President Clemens Faust"Sentiments among
German managers have darkened further," IFO President Clemens Faust said
in a statement. He said that
the situation was very disappointing. Noting all this, he said that the
business environment in the service sector, trade, and construction has also
deteriorated to a disappointing extent. Survey HighlightedLBBW Bank's Elmer Volcker
said the survey highlighted an "increasingly
negative trend" around the German economy, adding, "The already bleak
outlook has become even
bleaker." The German economy has been in crisis since Russia invaded
Ukraine last year. Food and energy costs have risen since Russia cut key gas
exports to Europe. Comparing July to June, production dropped by 0.8%. Reuters surveyed analysts, who expected a 0.5% fall. Poor EconomicIt fell into recession at
the end of the year after two consecutive quarters of poor
economic performance, the technical definition of a recession. The
eurozone's aggressive rate hikes to curb high inflation are also weighing
on the economy, while weakness in key foreign markets has hit exporters and producers
hard. IFO surveyFritzi Koehler-Gibe,
chief economist at public lender FW, said the IFO survey was "once again
disappointing" but there were also glimmers of hope. He explained, "I
am sitting on the recovery of cost in the second half of the year thinking that
now there will be an increase in the income, the cost will be managed to some
extent, which will now increase the income substantially and the inflation
pressure will be reduced." Expected to get rid of. pressures
after last winter's downturn." However, he added that the situation is
still difficult for the industry. Germany's leading economic institutions
expect the country's economy to shrink by 0.2 to 0.4 percent during 2023. |